La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb0b3e44aa21373e3dff57b7edb3e348013526d5b1e92241e5c09655b12bae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Yes | 43c | 2,712$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 2,541$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.2 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 1,318$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 1,048$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.74 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 28c | 856.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 36c | 661.11$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 45c | 345.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 331.55$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 328.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 42c | 238.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 228.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 26c | 149.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Yes | 45c | 119.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 60c | 100.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…ade5backed Yes | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…f3b1backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…761bbacked Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…6e48backed Yes | 45c | 31.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.