La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78af0b017864fc78ed3f99ba76ce452e3e04a1881a5ec89aa1fdd4316358549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 42c | 61,335$25,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,656.61 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 33,630$17,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,306.19 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 19,251$11,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,165.85 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 38c | 17,000$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,379.91 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,098$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.8 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 3,694$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.47 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 2,447$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.78 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 70c | 2,031$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 43c | 1,782$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 58c | 1,510$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 1,236$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.52 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 1,110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 11c | 323.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 58c | 250$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed No | 59c | 229$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Yes | 70c | 209.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 37c | 155$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 69c | 81.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 71.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…cad0backed Yes | 43c | 64.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed No | 60c | 57.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 57c | 51.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 32c | 46.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 60c | 46.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…f3b1backed Yes | 70c | 37.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…7c8fbacked Yes | 67c | 37.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed No | 55c | 32.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 70c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 23.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2001…29b8backed Yes | 70c | 23.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…2513backed No | 63c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…1472backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 79c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked No | 59c | 17.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.