TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brown Bearsof Columbia Lions, Brown Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e58…c676backed Columbia Lions53c2,830$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Brown Bears28c2,626$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.3615556.1%87 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Columbia Lions51c2,229$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Brown Bears28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.713943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Brown Bears56c1,729$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.611,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Brown Bears52c1,695$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Brown Bears58c1,636$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears39c1,315$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.095,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e28…340abacked Columbia Lions2c1,138$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Columbia Lions57c1,058$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Columbia Lions39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Columbia Lions26c972.89$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.93638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Columbia Lions70c963$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.892,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Columbia Lions3c847.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Columbia Lions39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23443450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Columbia Lions60c524.89$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9374152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Columbia Lions44c440.87$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.938937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Columbia Lions63c408.74$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.767250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brown Bears45c406.15$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.761,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed Columbia Lions12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486016.7%10 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Columbia Lions29c395.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.062642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Brown Bears40c392.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Columbia Lions32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.28930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Brown Bears37c307.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Brown Bears36c277.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9421443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Brown Bears53c257.24$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.993,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Columbia Lions62c245.09$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.024,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…3365backed Columbia Lions40c244.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfed…61b5backed Brown Bears42c239.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Brown Bears40c234$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Columbia Lions41c216.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.71,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Columbia Lions47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Columbia Lions47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Columbia Lions57c203$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brown Bears51c202.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8eb…3962backed Columbia Lions56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Brown Bears28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Columbia Lions12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Columbia Lions8c193.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Columbia Lions67c188.71$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.93345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Columbia Lions60c167.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Columbia Lions51c166.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.492,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Brown Bears61c164.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.845459.3%32 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Columbia Lions69c162.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.33,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfda5…53d7backed Columbia Lions51c157.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Columbia Lions46c152$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Brown Bears37c145.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8229442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Columbia Lions61c143.14$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.272,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Brown Bears43c139$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.231,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb97c…f3b1backed Columbia Lions77c136.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.78366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears39c126.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.052,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Brown Bears27c122.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2223544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Brown Bears41c121$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.343,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Columbia Lions41c112.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Columbia Lions54c110.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.137557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Brown Bears54c97.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8111958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Columbia Lions63c96.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.823762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Columbia Lions56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa695…c8a4backed Columbia Lions52c85.88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Brown Bears36c84.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.091442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Columbia Lions76c77.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.543865.8%25 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Brown Bears56c71.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Columbia Lions42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.419871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa71…d510backed Columbia Lions61c57.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f8…92b8backed Columbia Lions62c56.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Brown Bears57c53.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.27965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a11…de7cbacked Brown Bears40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brown Bears40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Columbia Lions51c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4964322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddd…ccbdbacked Columbia Lions40c49.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Columbia Lions35c48.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.154042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Brown Bears63c48.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.043161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc995…3053backed Brown Bears38c47.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Columbia Lions64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6570…32ccbacked Brown Bears69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brown Bears66c41.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x870f…a050backed Columbia Lions48c41.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Brown Bears44c36.71$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears36c35.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Brown Bears41c33.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.892142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Columbia Lions62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x757c…ff7abacked Columbia Lions63c31.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71aa…a9d2backed Columbia Lions64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…658bbacked Brown Bears58c29.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d8…11babacked Columbia Lions70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8875…17dabacked Brown Bears71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Columbia Lions74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Columbia Lions67c26.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.062343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4116…555abacked Columbia Lions77c25.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Columbia Lions61c25.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5991848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c0…5ea6backed Columbia Lions70c20.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a1…659bbacked Columbia Lions54c20.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5616…a88cbacked Columbia Lions56c17.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92be…0a05backed Columbia Lions67c16.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Columbia Lions70c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53060%18 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.