Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x807b684c04584ff0aca47fb0fa11c839a8d396bed85732af048b62dca38b7ab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $543,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 502,493$261,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241,210.4 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 236,397$113,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,470.66 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 48c | 222,091$106,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,603.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 11,062$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.01 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 48c | 4,966$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 4,150$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…62debacked Under | 50c | 3,966$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,020$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,702$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,274$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,240$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,025$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 50c | 725$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 346.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 50c | 240.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 50c | 209.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 51c | 140.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 50c | 135.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 50c | 119.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 114.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 50c | 105.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…300fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…18c4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5this page
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown BearsBrown Bears won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 138.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 139.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-2.5)Brown Bears won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)Brown Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.