Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42a3b656a7ecde8c219963efc2cac257397a51881c1514128c72588f79103a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brown Bearsof Columbia Lions, Brown Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Brown Bears | 50c | 343,767$172,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,521.11 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Columbia Lions | 50c | 293,579$146,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,789.26 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Columbia Lions | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Columbia Lions | 49c | 11,000$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Columbia Lions | 50c | 4,880$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Columbia Lions | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Brown Bears | 50c | 2,700$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.92 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Brown Bears | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Columbia Lions | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 2,453$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.26 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Columbia Lions | 50c | 2,238$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears | 54c | 2,052$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 2,000$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Columbia Lions | 50c | 1,324$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Brown Bears | 52c | 1,012$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Columbia Lions | 52c | 955.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Columbia Lions | 47c | 922.05$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.78 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Columbia Lions | 46c | 403.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Brown Bears | 50c | 380$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brown Bears | 54c | 373.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Columbia Lions | 53c | 305.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Columbia Lions | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Brown Bears | 56c | 261.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Columbia Lions | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 110.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 107.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed Columbia Lions | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 81.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Brown Bears | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x376a…4384backed Brown Bears | 75c | 65.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Brown Bears | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Columbia Lions | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…68a6backed Columbia Lions | 50c | 44.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Columbia Lions | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Columbia Lions | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…3a4abacked Columbia Lions | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Brown Bears | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)this page
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown BearsBrown Bears won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 138.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 139.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 140.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-2.5)Brown Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.