TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa71…d510

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.7%+$10.33
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+34.6%+$13.84
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Flyers vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lightning vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.6%+$18.9
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$9.25
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+57%+$10.09
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.9%+$11.63
Northwestern Wildcats vs. USC Trojansbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.7%+$3.94
Detroit Titans vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+48.1%+$6.31
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bearsbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Boston Terriers vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Butler Bulldogs vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Elon Phoenix vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44%+$6.61
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.1%+$12.71
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Transylvania Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+76.9%+$11.53
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.76
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+57.1%+$34.24
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)backed STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+51.1%+$7.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+30%+$5.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+71.2%+$32.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.