Lol · resolved market
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1d3a2c2e5a091d9641f3e3cf5173f481a7d65c70a584068935d3da4f5279a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deep Cross Gamingof Deep Cross Gaming, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 29c | 2,215$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.31 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 1,512$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.09 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Deep Cross Gaming | 68c | 696.92$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 661$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 522$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 63c | 511$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 451.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 5c | 346.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 32c | 322.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Deep Cross Gaming | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Deep Cross Gaming | 79c | 200.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…00c3backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 26c | 192.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 29c | 174.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 15c | 141.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 37c | 124.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…d424backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 40c | 34.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Deep Cross Gaming | 76c | 30.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Deep Cross Gaming | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Deep Cross Gaming | 69c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Deep Cross Gaming | 76c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…d510backed Deep Cross Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)Deep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.