NHL · resolved market
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Ak Bars Kazan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabd1ccc382d71c8cf5ca8f8df8000e99e766cb1f7934c403002bd190a5222483
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Admiral Vladivostok, Ak Bars Kazan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 26c | 692.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Admiral Vladivostok | 26c | 427.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…38dbbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 127$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 127$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 81.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…5586backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 68.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…622ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 64.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Admiral Vladivostok | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Admiral Vladivostok | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Admiral Vladivostok | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 75c | 37.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…9baabacked Admiral Vladivostok | 33c | 35.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…d510backed Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Ak Bars Kazan | 71c | 33.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ak Bars Kazan | 71c | 25.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…d2debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.