TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6098…a70d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburgbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
SHL: Brynaes vs. Djurgaardenbacked Brynaes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.3%+$8.45
KHL: Torpedo vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.33
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+36.1%+$21.66
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$22.08
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+212.5%+$78.47
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.25
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.37
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$21.45
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: magic vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
BPL: Rangpur Riders vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Eliminator)backed Rangpur Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.