Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5887d74f643c2ee5cecc3f4d8f6a01301871779c750abec2957d4ccddc31f0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 3,040$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.02 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Team Secret | 21c | 1,800$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Secret | 31c | 1,646$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.57 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Secret | 29c | 1,062$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…535ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Secret | 32c | 336.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Team Secret | 24c | 328$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 301.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Team Secret | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 293.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 147.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 141.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…824fbacked Team Secret | 15c | 124.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 103.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Secret | 33c | 87.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 54.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Secret | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Team Secret | 37c | 43.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Team Secret | 31c | 41.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Team Secret | 26c | 41.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Secret | 32c | 39.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Team Secret | 33c | 36.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…3da2backed Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Team Secret | 34c | 30.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…b33cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 29.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Team Secret | 38c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 28.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…c302backed Nongshim RedForce | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…41f3backed Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 25.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 21.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…62acbacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…5849backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…d9cfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.