NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c7ea50b334fc56764f3ad7dbe0093a325e724aaf40d2c4d1f34710285277ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 657 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Islanders | 57c | 90,217$51,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,793.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canucks | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,200 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Canucks | 42c | 35,938$15,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,084.62 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 42c | 34,651$14,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,553.52 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 58c | 30,305$17,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,737.86 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Islanders | 58c | 19,957$11,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,383.99 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Canucks | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,932.96 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Canucks | 22c | 14,254$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 43c | 13,486$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.74 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canucks | 42c | 10,586$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.1 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 49c | 10,186$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.59 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canucks | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 43c | 6,730$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.97 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.91 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Canucks | 21c | 6,259$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.63 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Islanders | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.99 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Canucks | 61c | 5,520$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.65 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Canucks | 0c | 5,350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Islanders | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Canucks | 27c | 4,388$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canucks | 37c | 3,434$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.17 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Islanders | 39c | 3,293$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.95 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 42c | 3,157$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Canucks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.97 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canucks | 1c | 2,966$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Canucks | 39c | 2,857$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.67 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 57c | 2,762$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canucks | 44c | 2,701$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.42 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Canucks | 42c | 2,700$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 67c | 2,557$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.27 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Canucks | 44c | 2,481$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.64 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks | 60c | 2,395$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Canucks | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Canucks | 45c | 2,324$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.1 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Canucks | 65c | 2,293$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Islanders | 57c | 2,135$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Islanders | 59c | 1,990$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.9 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canucks | 58c | 1,919$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.23 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Canucks | 3c | 1,857$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canucks | 56c | 1,853$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.53 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders | 44c | 1,845$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.53 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Canucks | 1c | 1,843$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Canucks | 63c | 1,820$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Canucks | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 50c | 1,813$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.73 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canucks | 43c | 1,798$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,623$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.01 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,609$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Canucks | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 55c | 1,586$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…cee0backed Islanders | 56c | 1,580$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Islanders | 42c | 1,579$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.48 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks | 5c | 1,537$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Canucks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Canucks | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Islanders | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canucks | 43c | 1,498$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.26 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canucks | 10c | 1,468$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Canucks | 43c | 1,465$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.95 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Islanders | 55c | 1,450$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.62 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Canucks | 1c | 1,330$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…9b75backed Canucks | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 58c | 1,282$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.44 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canucks | 44c | 1,260$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.11 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Canucks | 44c | 1,257$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.06 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders | 77c | 1,247$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.87 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6d09backed Islanders | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…dae2backed Canucks | 44c | 1,154$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf8…5b7fbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,146$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…6f74backed Canucks | 44c | 1,146$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…5c1ebacked Canucks | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…9432backed Islanders | 56c | 1,141$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Canucks | 42c | 1,138$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…4431backed Canucks | 44c | 1,134$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…9cbabacked Islanders | 56c | 1,134$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…8fc3backed Canucks | 44c | 1,124$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d50…922dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,124$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Canucks | 43c | 1,124$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.32 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6ad6backed Canucks | 44c | 1,124$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…16dabacked Islanders | 56c | 1,124$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…0097backed Islanders | 56c | 1,118$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…9fa7backed Canucks | 44c | 1,118$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e0…d4aebacked Islanders | 56c | 1,118$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…8c6bbacked Canucks | 44c | 1,118$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…8524backed Canucks | 44c | 1,115$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…8af2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,115$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…7363backed Islanders | 56c | 1,112$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc07…6051backed Canucks | 44c | 1,112$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885d…04bcbacked Canucks | 44c | 1,108$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…fb54backed Islanders | 56c | 1,108$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…a13dbacked Canucks | 44c | 1,094$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…d610backed Islanders | 56c | 1,094$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,090$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.6 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Canucksthis page
- Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.