TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$633,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$637,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over43c584,509$251,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333,394.4320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under57c200,000$114,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,0001,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under57c150,000$85,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,5008354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under57c150,000$85,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,50038748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under58c21,664$12,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,548.467051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under57c17,777$10,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,132.897949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under57c17,185$9,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,795.4826849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c9,807$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.752,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under58c5,636$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.117737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over43c5,403$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.5526058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Under58c3,446$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.51050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under57c3,346$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.371,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9721048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under57c2,800$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.971,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under59c2,550$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c2,016$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.972,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under57c1,981$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.0117057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,967$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.122,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69e4…00cdbacked Under66c1,645$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under58c1,600$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92816241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under57c1,315$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.551,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over42c1,261$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.4219555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Under22c1,151$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.31425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c1,105$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.8583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over19c1,080$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.92429.2%7 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick10cpaid+81.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over44c1,056$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.544965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd829…95f9backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Under58c722.36$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.973369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under14c642$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.752,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under58c620.78$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce2…0103backed Under16c610.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.72955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under9c549.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over78c543$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under17c501.47$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.791,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29014142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1916056.3%90 W · 70 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under58c444$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5249546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over42c385.96$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under26c351.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c289.48$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.222,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under57c261.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0618551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under17c248.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4121040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under58c241.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under54c232.07$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.586450%32 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8123…268cbacked Under58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303531.4%11 W · 24 L-7.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under58c189.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11049053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over75c174$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under59c167.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.949147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over43c161.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.11580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over55c146.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4611153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over41c141.85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2826243.5%114 W · 148 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under58c120.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Under58c117.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.878557.6%49 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.286342.9%27 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2819651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Under27c115.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under58c108.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.145959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…8d92backed Under26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Under58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012444.4%55 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1812548.8%61 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315155%83 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under41c98.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under57c96.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528550.2%143 W · 142 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Under58c89.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.924057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under23c86.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over43c81.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+67%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over41c80.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.243250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Under57c78.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.538645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0b…00d8backed Over65c76.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf289…0514backed Over65c76.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc320…1266backed Over65c76.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81060%6 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…f373backed Over66c75.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.641258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick75cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa5…a759backed Over66c75.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.641384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick74cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.66947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.925354.2%137 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under58c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.021,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Over41c68.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Under52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541650.7%211 W · 205 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07a6…ca7dbacked Over76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.731457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Under45c64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under59c63.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3533447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over43c63.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.063171%22 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over47c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5434949.9%174 W · 175 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c37…947cbacked Over80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9606…c991backed Over80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick75cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe884…b25ebacked Over80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5613…d53bbacked Over80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick76cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x809a…587dbacked Over75c60.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick75cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.