NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455b48142e9a0e9ad636129406f3b1edc8f8ae30e42fc633193ed1f7ad78e3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 6,046$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.81 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 52c | 5,368$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.47 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,792$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,215$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,140$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.7 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 53c | 400.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 322.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 296.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 219.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 88.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 83.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 28c | 80.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 73c | 79.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 48c | 52.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 45c | 47.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 80c | 39.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed Under | 49c | 35.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…73d1backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 73c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. CanucksIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.