NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a4874f102a9ed63179d2d1159cefeb349632da1590a84bac75af4844e4825c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Islanders, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Islanders | 36c | 14,973$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.56 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Canucks | 64c | 5,624$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 63c | 4,279$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.19 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canucks | 65c | 3,600$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 35c | 2,750$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Canucks | 65c | 2,256$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 46c | 1,994$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 65c | 1,189$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 55c | 1,059$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Islanders | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Canucks | 65c | 553.85$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Canucks | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Canucks | 66c | 365.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Canucks | 63c | 323.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Islanders | 13c | 288.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canucks | 64c | 264.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Islanders | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Islanders | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Canucks | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Canucks | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 34c | 243.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Canucks | 65c | 224.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Islanders | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Islanders | 35c | 162.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Islanders | 37c | 156.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 67c | 119.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 34c | 106.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Canucks | 63c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Islanders | 36c | 94.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canucks | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Canucks | 65c | 70.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Islanders | 35c | 65.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canucks | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Islanders | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Islanders | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…bb6fbacked Islanders | 21c | 56.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Islanders | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Canucks | 64c | 46.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Canucks | 65c | 44.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 49c | 40.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Islanders | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Canucks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Canucks | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…c66bbacked Islanders | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Canucks | 64c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Canucks | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Islanders vs. CanucksIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.