TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EYEBALLERSof FUT Esports, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd604…ee57backed EYEBALLERS64c7,260$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.024731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed FUT Esports1c5,624$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.746328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FUT Esports71c3,658$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.1413954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports40c2,400$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.833,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FUT Esports32c2,225$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.912,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked FUT Esports47c2,117$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked EYEBALLERS45c1,951$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.431,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed EYEBALLERS28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.7550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…280dbacked FUT Esports71c1,444$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe01a…d527backed EYEBALLERS29c1,442$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed FUT Esports18c1,381$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.524643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked EYEBALLERS20c1,060$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.211631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed EYEBALLERS78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa16e…4986backed FUT Esports38c970$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked EYEBALLERS30c970$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6791,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed EYEBALLERS30c847$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5971553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports46c767.29$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.381,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7a…7181backed EYEBALLERS30c765.5$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.853138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports52c755$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked FUT Esports16c724.06$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.44936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed FUT Esports44c651.56$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2713144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EYEBALLERS32c548.09$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.185,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked EYEBALLERS75c544.98$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FUT Esports15c544.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.12,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed EYEBALLERS76c539.53$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked EYEBALLERS35c514.29$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2952636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed FUT Esports55c499.71$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4322554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed FUT Esports65c488.02$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2797230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked FUT Esports47c477.35$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2236352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EYEBALLERS54c472.5$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed FUT Esports36c374.36$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.113030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked EYEBALLERS30c332.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4565662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FUT Esports42c307.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.553,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d3…5255backed EYEBALLERS29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2131020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+77.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed FUT Esports72c298.17$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3417644.9%79 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed EYEBALLERS65c249.04$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed EYEBALLERS76c240.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked FUT Esports48c238.31$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.295350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed FUT Esports48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed EYEBALLERS77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4620462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed EYEBALLERS52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b66…ab40backed EYEBALLERS79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked EYEBALLERS28c184.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.951526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed EYEBALLERS73c179.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9893…db10backed EYEBALLERS80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked EYEBALLERS30c167$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+159%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe71c…0d30backed EYEBALLERS30c160$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.14141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked EYEBALLERS60c157.28$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3816146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed EYEBALLERS30c138.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6227735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports70c130.8$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed EYEBALLERS78c129.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.757455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked FUT Esports59c125.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4822931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked EYEBALLERS32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked FUT Esports72c122.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.896972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed EYEBALLERS72c120$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.285851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c89…2db9backed FUT Esports32c118.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.061643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a70…3fc8backed FUT Esports23c112.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.283740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked EYEBALLERS55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.095655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed EYEBALLERS33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.053935.9%14 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked FUT Esports48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70e5…b0d3backed EYEBALLERS26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+277.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce8e…0f91backed EYEBALLERS15c97.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6098…a70dbacked FUT Esports73c96.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed FUT Esports15c96.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.676827.9%19 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked EYEBALLERS58c90.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.878360.2%50 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa100…60e1backed EYEBALLERS56c89.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.613737.2%51 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked EYEBALLERS27c86.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.631,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccc…9918backed EYEBALLERS49c81.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed FUT Esports25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c6…9947backed FUT Esports38c79.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed FUT Esports26c78.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed FUT Esports70c75.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9858762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed FUT Esports72c62.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0622259.9%133 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba0…a750backed EYEBALLERS66c60.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.732045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked FUT Esports55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked EYEBALLERS29c55.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.16732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked FUT Esports48c52.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked FUT Esports48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed FUT Esports45c51.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1520243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed FUT Esports46c51.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5519843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked EYEBALLERS78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed FUT Esports74c50.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.422548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5206…0f4cbacked FUT Esports22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126535.5%94 W · 171 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…d949backed FUT Esports70c42.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.12962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4d…1a07backed FUT Esports76c42.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ba…17c7backed EYEBALLERS55c40.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed FUT Esports27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7313740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed EYEBALLERS30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11cb…b931backed EYEBALLERS49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed FUT Esports52c36.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.147647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0982…7ab7backed FUT Esports55c36.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked EYEBALLERS59c35.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed EYEBALLERS57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0928852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0097…9055backed EYEBALLERS78c33.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.334185.4%35 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xda1e…f6a4backed EYEBALLERS76c31.77$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.662937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked FUT Esports69c30.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1870038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabc8…fd71backed FUT Esports71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.36558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed FUT Esports55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed FUT Esports66c27.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed EYEBALLERS58c25.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.514141.5%17 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.