CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b77aa2b9b0be963fa3f0132c8f799d827c5c7f1ed482cfbffaeb6ffbb81475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MANA eSports | 1c | 6,686$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MANA eSports | 19c | 2,162$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.51 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed magic | 72c | 1,113$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 21c | 1,056$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MANA eSports | 4c | 1,028$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 8c | 802.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked magic | 77c | 729.69$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed magic | 73c | 567.93$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 69c | 503.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked MANA eSports | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked MANA eSports | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed MANA eSports | 27c | 225.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked MANA eSports | 11c | 198.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked magic | 70c | 196.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed MANA eSports | 13c | 166.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed MANA eSports | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed MANA eSports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed MANA eSports | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…52d8backed MANA eSports | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed MANA eSports | 28c | 82.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked magic | 67c | 74.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…146ebacked MANA eSports | 34c | 74.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed magic | 72c | 69.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked MANA eSports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked magic | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnermagic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.