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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Nets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,066,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,109,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,066,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Nets32c319,043$101,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,284.6851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets0c74,189$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.41,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Bulls68c49,407$33,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,685.4719560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls68c35,000$23,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls68c25,860$17,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,157.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls68c25,447$17,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,075.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Bulls68c25,120$17,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,038.423245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Bulls69c21,362$14,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,617.9114663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets30c21,201$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,360.2951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Nets32c20,635$6,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,596.8819150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Nets31c20,099$6,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,330.9919653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Nets32c20,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Bulls68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls69c17,585$12,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,467.442,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls69c16,079$11,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.492,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b31…11a8backed Nets32c15,911$5,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Bulls68c15,734$10,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,034.839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c14,373$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.198820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Bulls68c14,349$9,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,591.6313455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Nets32c13,701$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,359.4128439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Bulls68c13,342$9,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.9426949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets31c13,289$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.4987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb6…e8f0backed Nets31c12,800$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f94…ae29backed Bulls68c12,800$8,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bulls70c11,374$7,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nets31c11,000$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.9835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls68c10,479$7,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.793,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls68c10,204$6,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.682,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Nets31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Nets32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Bulls69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.3215740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bulls68c9,600$6,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,07210949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9373…4c6bbacked Bulls68c9,537$6,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc7…a83cbacked Bulls69c9,504$6,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Nets1c9,218$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8110119.8%20 W · 81 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls69c9,102$6,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.621,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls68c8,884$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets0c8,350$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets6c8,186$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Bulls75c7,530$5,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.9714751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls69c7,517$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.671,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bulls79c7,495$5,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.161,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Bulls70c7,467$5,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.1529037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls69c7,322$5,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed Bulls69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.387062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets32c7,050$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2561,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Nets31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17013148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Bulls68c6,800$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,17611244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bulls68c6,460$4,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets16c6,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.971,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nets17c5,628$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96540041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls74c5,402$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets1c5,020$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.261,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bulls69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Nets32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Bulls68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa827…1adbbacked Nets31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.972931%9 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Nets31c4,839$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Bulls68c4,561$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.3539958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Nets32c4,514$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.3420551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Bulls77c4,072$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.3227865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Bulls69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Nets31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2402653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls70c3,629$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.5756453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets23c3,622$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.033,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls68c3,549$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.961,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls69c3,531$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.611,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets9c3,306$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.931,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls68c3,294$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Bulls69c3,242$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.0350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Bulls69c3,121$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.5622459.4%133 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Bulls70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nets31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9943348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls69c2,948$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.82,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Nets13c2,867$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…a09ebacked Bulls70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.141957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bulls68c2,797$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89526751.7%138 W · 129 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Bulls68c2,717$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dad…9dd4backed Nets12c2,695$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls69c2,620$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.2972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nets1c2,504$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bulls69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7751,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Nets31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9911753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Bulls70c2,465$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.510144.6%45 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcbc…71c1backed Bulls69c2,464$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.773050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets30c2,425$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Nets32c2,298$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.3534654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Bulls56c2,259$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.5360549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Bulls68c2,234$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.7648944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls68c2,200$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2247…57e9backed Nets42c2,100$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1563…779abacked Bulls68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+88%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Nets30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Bulls69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…f3c7backed Nets30c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Bulls70c1,951$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8114061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb57…c6d2backed Nets32c1,873$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed Bulls69c1,859$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.214855.4%82 W · 66 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6011…eab6backed Bulls56c1,806$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.