TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfaa7…d4dbbacked Over46c18,790$8,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,146.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under48c18,009$8,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,634.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c13,861$7,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,765.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd2…3479backed Over46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3269…d6cfbacked Under54c5,750$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41fa…2c85backed Under54c5,660$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b4…d747backed Over46c5,650$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fba…7174backed Over46c4,807$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf274…ee54backed Over46c4,775$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4463…c195backed Over46c4,708$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02ef…ba16backed Over46c4,573$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f7…df01backed Over46c4,467$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b68…4577backed Over46c4,465$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…d792backed Over46c4,440$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7c…d43fbacked Over46c4,413$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e95…3040backed Over46c4,360$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.47100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe013…65b3backed Over46c4,342$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207f…3d23backed Over46c4,295$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2729…a0cfbacked Over46c4,188$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a29…a660backed Over46c4,188$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7639…cae4backed Over46c4,173$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacac…174bbacked Over46c4,158$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4792…ac6fbacked Over46c4,144$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a22…53eebacked Under54c4,143$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c4,117$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.943,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe03…375abacked Under54c4,104$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.16333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42de…e657backed Under54c4,043$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90a…9ab4backed Over46c4,029$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f2…3d9bbacked Under54c4,025$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b53…4af5backed Over46c4,008$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5976…8bd5backed Under54c3,941$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe57…56edbacked Under54c3,889$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ac…3d34backed Under54c3,879$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf76d…8491backed Under54c3,858$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a6…d42bbacked Over46c3,854$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd2c…0688backed Under54c3,852$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…4a69backed Under54c3,841$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…5917backed Under54c3,825$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f2…4d0abacked Under54c3,818$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf2…4d74backed Over46c3,796$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945b…aea4backed Under54c3,793$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66aa…15bebacked Over46c3,783$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cda…2100backed Over46c3,765$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab2…02c6backed Under54c3,759$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…5f01backed Over46c3,723$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeef…48cdbacked Under54c3,709$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9191…b305backed Under52c3,702$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe966…e46cbacked Under54c3,698$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c4…faa1backed Under54c3,652$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c8…3c64backed Under54c3,651$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3eb…6b2ebacked Under54c3,651$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…9af5backed Under54c3,648$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca7…7a6bbacked Under54c3,644$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d0…5c5abacked Over46c3,630$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98c1…a39bbacked Under54c3,622$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ac…42cbbacked Under54c3,617$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4030…20d0backed Under54c3,615$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…3270backed Over46c3,605$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48aa…cd4ebacked Under54c3,603$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31f…b387backed Under54c3,584$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d87…a64bbacked Under54c3,565$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f1…e326backed Over46c3,557$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc13…4ba3backed Over46c3,530$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb96…ec4bbacked Under52c3,523$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82e3…b4dfbacked Over46c3,522$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf4…05f3backed Over46c3,515$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e7d…ff62backed Under52c3,502$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e43…d194backed Under54c3,494$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5767…a845backed Under54c3,494$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.76333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a6…82ebbacked Over46c3,475$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x170a…6fa2backed Under52c3,463$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.76450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b6…a02cbacked Over48c3,456$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5b…5c6cbacked Under54c3,439$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x394c…2165backed Over46c3,435$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1b…373abacked Under54c3,425$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda2…2329backed Over48c3,421$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.92450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4993…f31bbacked Over46c3,419$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4e…7d3dbacked Over46c3,400$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ea…3538backed Over46c3,366$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc7…8319backed Under54c3,362$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8b…57f2backed Under54c3,319$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfc…9b85backed Over46c3,313$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…70e0backed Over46c3,293$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.22333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…d6acbacked Under54c3,269$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe147…d8a2backed Under54c3,261$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7d…6babbacked Under54c3,255$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310f…925bbacked Over46c3,253$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe444…183cbacked Over46c3,245$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x517b…7828backed Over46c3,210$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe713…5b81backed Under54c3,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd4…93c1backed Under54c3,166$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe079…4a6abacked Under54c3,141$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d2…69e0backed Under54c3,106$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.24333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca0…028bbacked Under54c3,098$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2153…e827backed Over46c3,094$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb355…2821backed Under54c3,054$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea61…03f3backed Under54c3,053$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…2c91backed Under54c3,052$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…a125backed Over46c3,034$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+72.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf850…6751backed Under54c3,025$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.