NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a455ab0fdaba2ccc03a79818de7c7ef82241aded69dbc27b9f674ec7f3c6714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9315…a744backed Over | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…f018backed Under | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 8,797$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 6,615$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 5,855$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 4,181$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.25 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,613$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 8c | 2,511$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 66c | 2,153$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 1,664$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,367$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 49c | 852.14$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.59 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 30c | 645.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 50c | 536.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 340$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892e…24a8backed Over | 64c | 310.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 310$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 306.26$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 297.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 268.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Over | 47c | 246.66$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 218$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 51c | 144.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 47c | 144.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 53c | 115.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 103.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 36c | 97.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 95.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 76c | 79.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761f…2f8abacked Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 76cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 73.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 68.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 68.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 61.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 52c | 59.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 56c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 41.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 41.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…9b08backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…6170backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…461abacked Over | 62c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Over | 66c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Bulls won
- Nets vs. BullsBulls won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 220.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.