NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1e73b2d08b36b68a2bcadae02cde1a43537ca308e8eac49f4296192406a9eb9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under	53c	10,454$5,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,565.28	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over	46c	4,377$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,363.68	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	47c	3,968$1,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,103.04	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	47c	2,887$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.87	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	54c	2,400$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	1,962$905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.7	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	44c	1,717$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.38	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	56c	1,291$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a14…fddabacked Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over	47c	846.27$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.52	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	615.41$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.22	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	56c	563.73$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.73	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c0…3f90backed Under	53c	160.38$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe681…6e1ebacked Over	53c	160.37$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.38	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Over	57c	149.09$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.39	250	56.8%142 W · 108 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over	47c	127.66$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.66	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under	52c	119.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over	56c	106.05$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.66	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Under	54c	88.3$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.68	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa329…b651backed Over	50c	64.34$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.34	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	53c	60.38$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	47c	58.49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under	54c	58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.32	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under	41c	54.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under	53c	52.83$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	625	46.9%293 W · 332 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Under	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over	50c	46$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	50c	43.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d9d…3950backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	48c	41.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	57c	37.75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	49c	37.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.25	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e1…5848backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under	52c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over	50c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	197	48.2%95 W · 102 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over	59c	18.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Over	76c	14.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	61cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event