NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7b60cdfdbda765b591d4e5368bc85a582c204cabdfafa91c51909ed464b8675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 43c | 106,398$45,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,750.95 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 57c | 96,145$54,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,342.29 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 57c | 7,100$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 44c | 4,536$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.7 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 56c | 3,915$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892e…24a8backed Over | 77c | 3,471$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…2220backed Over | 75c | 3,076$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 2,000$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 24c | 1,933$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 1,134$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 1,117$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 934.03$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 769.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.91 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 59c | 642.6$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.6 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 78c | 639.63$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 43c | 617$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 440.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 25c | 358.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 343$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 339$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 15c | 314$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 23c | 274.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 25c | 173.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 72c | 170$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 57c | 114.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 55c | 98.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 40c | 74.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 71.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…2893backed Over | 57c | 68.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Over | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over | 60c | 48.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 61c | 48.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 29c | 39.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Under | 80c | 34.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 57c | 33.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Over | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Over | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Over | 58c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Bulls won
- Nets vs. BullsBulls won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Nets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 220.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 221.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 222.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.