Lol · resolved market
LoL: EXILE esports vs Priority (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93450d9c33fd65c786f6f34c96c985428b50e9ff4d2cfcfce36fad3a9ee33330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, Priority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed EXILE esports | 76c | 6,947$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.09 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Priority | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Priority | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Priority | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Priority | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Priority | 28c | 464.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Priority | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Priority | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed EXILE esports | 70c | 251.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Priority | 30c | 234.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed EXILE esports | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked EXILE esports | 55c | 148.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked EXILE esports | 70c | 144$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed EXILE esports | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed EXILE esports | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Priority | 29c | 70.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed EXILE esports | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed EXILE esports | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Priority | 28c | 50.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Priority | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked EXILE esports | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Priority | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Priority | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Priority | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Priority | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Priority | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed EXILE esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked EXILE esports | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.