TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$832,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$804,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks28c227,470$62,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,478.3967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hurricanes73c181,310$132,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,331.7115953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec3…b76dbacked Hurricanes73c164,883$120,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,225.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks27c90,847$24,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,210.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Blackhawks27c87,887$23,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,157.2326849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Blackhawks28c70,171$19,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,523.099548.4%46 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hurricanes72c40,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,80019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes72c22,417$16,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,140.2461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Hurricanes72c20,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40024749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Blackhawks27c20,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,599.9525449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blackhawks27c15,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,95032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks46c14,118$6,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,627.331,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Blackhawks27c13,746$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,990.0579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Blackhawks27c12,574$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,179.2228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Blackhawks28c12,555$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.438252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Blackhawks27c11,966$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,716.661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hurricanes73c11,110$8,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,110.2826058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hurricanes72c10,065$7,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.6293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Hurricanes72c9,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4808848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hurricanes72c8,793$6,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,330.9620552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Blackhawks27c7,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,11013948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Blackhawks47c6,405$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.3352172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes54c6,316$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.7499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Hurricanes74c5,586$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,133.435735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes65c5,191$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.8585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hurricanes72c5,143$3,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,702.9921755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Hurricanes1c4,867$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.676233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks28c4,348$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,133.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Hurricanes53c4,112$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.1357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blackhawks39c4,001$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.741,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Blackhawks28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8802524%6 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9689547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks26c3,694$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,733.561,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hurricanes72c3,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.989353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks27c3,400$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.8451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Blackhawks50c3,339$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.842955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks42c3,017$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.7995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Hurricanes72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes70c2,994$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.111,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks47c2,755$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes68c2,726$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.681,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Hurricanes6c2,665$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.562222.7%5 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+79%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks38c2,655$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.6623047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Hurricanes58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b7…14b7backed Blackhawks28c2,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hurricanes72c2,402$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.441,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Hurricanes72c2,302$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.6126955.8%150 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…726fbacked Blackhawks28c2,299$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blackhawks27c2,200$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hurricanes72c2,175$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56610848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Blackhawks45c2,088$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.218252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Blackhawks40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002850%14 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blackhawks32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36033345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes1c1,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.997450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Hurricanes54c1,996$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.396750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Blackhawks27c1,815$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.956653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes57c1,731$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.991,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes60c1,716$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.8161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Blackhawks55c1,672$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.338368.7%57 W · 26 L+12.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Hurricanes6c1,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.962174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Hurricanes74c1,648$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.614965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Hurricanes72c1,629$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.8811749.6%58 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blackhawks27c1,600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16843548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Blackhawks45c1,527$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.2821040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Hurricanes11c1,460$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.737152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Hurricanes69c1,432$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.181546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hurricanes72c1,431$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Blackhawks27c1,419$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.1211547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes72c1,382$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.392,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes72c1,264$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.341,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbece…dcb9backed Hurricanes72c1,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86bf…6c83backed Hurricanes72c1,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Hurricanes72c1,150$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8289052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes6c1,100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blackhawks28c1,100$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.4645749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Hurricanes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Blackhawks27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73010056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Hurricanes74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7409853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Blackhawks28c1,000$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Blackhawks26c962.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.0941354.5%225 W · 188 L+17.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Blackhawks45c925$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.7514757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Blackhawks28c900$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.540049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Blackhawks42c899.99$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.991625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Hurricanes14c892$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Blackhawks31c849.91$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9127952%145 W · 134 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Blackhawks39c769.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8814047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Hurricanes50c761.28$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5932744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes71c749.99$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.491,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2593…6d05backed Hurricanes73c739.73$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks26c715.03$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.121,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Hurricanes74c694.35$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.451275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Hurricanes57c684.08$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd54…cd50backed Blackhawks29c658.62$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.622450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Blackhawks27c652.73$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.0212947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hurricanes62c635.95$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.261,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Hurricanes73c555$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.155046%23 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes72c549.85$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.581,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hurricanes61c530$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8427739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Hurricanes72c523.62$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.0127353.8%147 W · 126 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.