NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd282f3c9d859e5e52a39db3033822980530b111e1f89666f1d1e4088278c000c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 55c | 5,900$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…0649backed Under | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…c9fabacked Over | 45c | 4,400$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 3,712$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 45c | 2,709$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.77 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 58c | 593.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 444$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 222.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 46c | 193.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 180.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 126.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 107.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 37c | 105.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 56c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 13c | 98.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 72.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 70.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 57c | 67.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 39c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…973fbacked Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…477cbacked Under | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…0a40backed Under | 57c | 18.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. HurricanesBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.