NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f7ad10099ddd07b99e4337806531260d5d88784e54198dce59e11804a3701b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Hurricanes, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 1,155$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks | 48c | 677.97$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Hurricanes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hurricanes | 51c | 305.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blackhawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Hurricanes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Hurricanes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blackhawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Blackhawks | 78c | 166$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 79c | 145.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes | 16c | 118.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 67c | 106.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Hurricanes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Hurricanes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Hurricanes | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hurricanes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Hurricanes | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Hurricanes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 61.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Hurricanes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hurricanes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Hurricanes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Hurricanes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Hurricanes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 28.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Blackhawks | 48c | 27.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Hurricanes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. HurricanesBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.