TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6165…db3cbacked Over47c14,956$7,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0918662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x403f…e328backed Over46c5,354$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5459…5019backed Over46c5,265$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71d…acf7backed Over47c5,223$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c4,808$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c3,373$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6193,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…5e59backed Under54c3,348$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc85…3cdbbacked Under54c3,258$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+67.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c88…4896backed Under53c3,158$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e49…b3afbacked Over47c3,158$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8259…5e22backed Over46c3,117$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x166b…9332backed Over46c2,972$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c2,925$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4b…cba4backed Under54c2,899$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…02c7backed Over46c2,885$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x425f…c526backed Over46c2,880$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under54c2,761$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.5712855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f28…6724backed Over46c2,585$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cc…909bbacked Over46c2,576$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ca…8a35backed Under54c2,573$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c09…992bbacked Under54c2,563$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc715…5cd7backed Under54c2,553$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a9…eae3backed Over46c2,541$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f4…1068backed Over46c2,536$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5524…2e50backed Under54c2,515$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…d2c7backed Under54c2,349$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf7…a0bdbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92017744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe525…0ae4backed Under53c1,983$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6382…e507backed Under54c1,947$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3614254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…8175backed Under54c1,764$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7928…8af4backed Under53c1,731$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c1,729$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under55c1,709$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.0558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f5…e942backed Under54c1,693$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee5d…ed2ebacked Under54c1,625$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d54…0d54backed Under54c1,590$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x591f…0f80backed Under53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c1,446$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.082,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under56c1,364$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.2940451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under55c1,090$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.652,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under55c987.6$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under55c781.82$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8221852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c719.63$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over25c666.76$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2624846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over33c596.41$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.93,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under67c592.13$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.297440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c484.06$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.534,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over46c469.57$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21614346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under55c456.7$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9726336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c451.78$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over44c310.97$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over16c289.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.742,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over47c247.04$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1159942.4%42 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over47c233$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.21,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under53c220$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9210652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over24c199$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.761,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under53c189.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Under55c182.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.274055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over23c166.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Under60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015950.3%80 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under75c140.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.739047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc597…e662backed Under55c129.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6098…a70dbacked Under54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.371172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.756844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over45c93.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.051,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c93.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.882,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c92.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9860…33b4backed Under54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over30c90.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.061,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over44c87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over15c84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2117243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over45c75.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over45c74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.652,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over46c63.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under56c60.71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7137959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over44c60.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7137944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Over35c58.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.461118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c58.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f0…df87backed Under70c57.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.493554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under69c56.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over54c55.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7119350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Under55c50.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.757145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4515449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…8249backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011252.7%59 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c40.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.