NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852bf13fe76a9076c363b29c638e2ac7a92ad9b0227086bb92570b5d17e7a06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc2b…0a52backed Over | 50c | 10,980$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…4c15backed Under | 50c | 9,990$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…6253backed Under | 50c | 4,980$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…0649backed Over | 50c | 3,990$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,236$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…4d05backed Over | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…556bbacked Under | 51c | 3,034$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…2eb0backed Under | 51c | 2,835$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…3932backed Under | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…1bcdbacked Over | 49c | 2,579$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…fd31backed Over | 49c | 2,509$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…d238backed Over | 49c | 2,278$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 2,127$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…31a5backed Under | 51c | 1,897$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 52c | 1,808$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.84 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 51c | 1,602$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 1,597$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 1,540$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…435cbacked Over | 49c | 989.98$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a643backed Under | 52c | 900$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 52c | 712$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 51c | 557.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.22 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 47c | 421.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 50c | 395.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 311.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 299.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 269.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 51c | 265.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 53c | 250$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 215.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 176.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 128.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 106.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Over | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…f32bbacked Under | 51c | 98.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 46c | 90.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5c1dbacked Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 86.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Under | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 72c | 44.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 49c | 42.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 51c | 32.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Over | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 52c | 27.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 23.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…234abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.