NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d658da39c98bfc8d4eb20525a9dc4e2c07d4830121546dbe6508ccc26996628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 54c | 1,049$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 642$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 634.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 493$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 50c | 448.62$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 350.36$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 338.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 322$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 49c | 259.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 229.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 110.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 97.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under | 48c | 93.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 52c | 91.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 81.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…5c73backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Over | 49c | 56.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 49c | 56.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 54.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Over | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…32ddbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…cdccbacked Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 40.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 65c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…7671backed Over | 52c | 38.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…ac2fbacked Over | 51c | 37.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…39ccbacked Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…6555backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…352cbacked Over | 69c | 28.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…0e63backed Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 65c | 26.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…24d2backed Over | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.