NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee12d657604d2b49e2477478ae7b9e5544095d6e1ff9de20e52b66ef7eba033c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $701,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $701,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pacers | 52c | 462,756$240,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240,781.86 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 48c | 159,099$76,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,731.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Celtics | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 48c | 83,766$40,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,552.61 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 52c | 55,568$28,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,725.42 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Celtics | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Pacers | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics | 50c | 31,199$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.5 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 48c | 25,797$12,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,414.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 48c | 19,368$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,036.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Celtics | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.76 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 16,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pacers | 49c | 13,132$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.43 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…6e6dbacked Pacers | 48c | 11,943$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pacers | 48c | 9,752$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.08 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 52c | 9,616$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pacers | 51c | 9,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Pacers | 48c | 7,233$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 49c | 4,925$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 47c | 4,877$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Celtics | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 48c | 4,051$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 48c | 3,793$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 52c | 3,706$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Pacers | 51c | 3,628$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pacers | 49c | 3,251$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.83 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Celtics | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Celtics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Celtics | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,705$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Celtics | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pacers | 50c | 2,412$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers | 51c | 2,074$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.63 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Pacers | 48c | 1,580$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.26 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 24c | 1,509$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pacers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Pacers | 51c | 1,431$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Pacers | 49c | 1,430$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 48c | 1,252$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Celtics | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Pacers | 49c | 951.26$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.88 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Celtics | 48c | 950$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pacers | 49c | 915$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.35 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Pacers | 51c | 901.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Celtics | 48c | 854.17$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.17 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Pacers | 49c | 776.29$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.38 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pacers | 48c | 768$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.64 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Pacers | 51c | 744.54$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.72 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 50c | 734$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pacers | 50c | 721.56$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pacers | 48c | 600$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pacers | 48c | 597.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Celtics | 48c | 581.2$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 49c | 530$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.05 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Celtics | 49c | 516$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Pacers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Celtics | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pacers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Celtics | 50c | 385.24$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pacers | 12c | 331.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Celtics | 52c | 311.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Celtics | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers | 48c | 304.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Celtics | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Pacers | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Pacers | 52c | 299.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Pacers | 51c | 278.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Celtics | 50c | 274$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Pacers | 15c | 268.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Pacers | 49c | 263.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Celtics | 51c | 250.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pacers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Pacers | 49c | 246.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Celtics | 52c | 213.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8688backed Celtics | 51c | 210.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 48c | 210.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Celtics | 49c | 210.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Celtics | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Celtics | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pacers | 48c | 207.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…608cbacked Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…5a77backed Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Celtics | 51c | 190.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…86dabacked Celtics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Pacers | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Celtics | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics | 50c | 156.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.