NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905b852ee84aa8627924010f470d07e3b1b26c86495ee316d2c0be49625bb83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics | 47c | 51,974$24,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,574.13 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 53c | 20,141$10,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,674.47 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers | 55c | 10,005$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.37 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 53c | 9,062$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 55c | 8,892$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.47 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Pacers | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Celtics | 45c | 7,293$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.33 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6c…6851backed Celtics | 46c | 5,388$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…387ebacked Celtics | 46c | 5,178$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…1fe5backed Celtics | 46c | 4,855$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…e507backed Celtics | 46c | 4,658$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa736…9297backed Pacers | 54c | 4,399$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…0f80backed Celtics | 46c | 4,058$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…0d54backed Celtics | 46c | 3,955$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…a7f6backed Pacers | 54c | 3,403$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Celtics | 45c | 3,084$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.19 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…5ab2backed Pacers | 54c | 3,042$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…5b28backed Celtics | 46c | 3,023$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…e7b1backed Pacers | 54c | 3,023$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe525…0ae4backed Pacers | 54c | 2,941$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…a356backed Pacers | 54c | 2,935$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…fdc5backed Celtics | 46c | 2,896$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 54c | 2,851$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…8175backed Pacers | 54c | 2,579$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…2eb0backed Celtics | 46c | 2,576$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…c526backed Pacers | 54c | 2,574$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…556bbacked Celtics | 46c | 2,566$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…d238backed Pacers | 54c | 2,563$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…d2c7backed Celtics | 46c | 2,553$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…3cdbbacked Celtics | 46c | 2,543$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…4d05backed Pacers | 54c | 2,542$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…02c7backed Pacers | 54c | 2,536$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166b…9332backed Pacers | 54c | 2,536$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…1bcdbacked Pacers | 54c | 2,535$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…ed2ebacked Pacers | 54c | 2,535$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8259…5e22backed Pacers | 54c | 2,534$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…cba4backed Celtics | 46c | 2,532$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…3932backed Celtics | 46c | 2,523$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…fd31backed Pacers | 54c | 2,512$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…2672backed Pacers | 54c | 2,502$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…31a5backed Celtics | 46c | 2,447$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…c9e1backed Celtics | 46c | 2,363$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…6f50backed Celtics | 46c | 2,263$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…5e59backed Celtics | 46c | 2,143$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…13f6backed Pacers | 54c | 2,085$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 58c | 1,711$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 47c | 1,696$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.01 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…5019backed Pacers | 54c | 1,257$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…40f5backed Pacers | 54c | 1,254$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pacers | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…e0c9backed Pacers | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71d…acf7backed Pacers | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…e328backed Pacers | 54c | 955$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f5…e942backed Pacers | 54c | 866$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Pacers | 53c | 835.49$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.98 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 54c | 775.97$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ef…75b9backed Pacers | 54c | 755$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Pacers | 18c | 700$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…e844backed Pacers | 54c | 588$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…d22ebacked Pacers | 54c | 521$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers | 52c | 480.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…a0bdbacked Pacers | 54c | 421$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…15d0backed Pacers | 54c | 401$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pacers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Pacers | 53c | 343.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pacers | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 46c | 322$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Pacers | 54c | 277.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pacers | 53c | 270.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Celtics | 45c | 230.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 46c | 198.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Celtics | 47c | 184$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Pacers | 54c | 179.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…c0eabacked Celtics | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pacers | 54c | 109.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Pacers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Pacers | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Pacers | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Celtics | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Pacers | 55c | 63.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Celtics | 46c | 61.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7928…8af4backed Pacers | 54c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics | 46c | 57.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Pacers | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Pacers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Pacers | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Celtics | 46c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Pacers | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Pacers | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 53c | 51.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 45c | 47.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Celtics | 47c | 44.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.