Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d9e8aa6e3823371393d5a54e9db573b1b15b5b62ef68761ecb48d58bf05db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arctic Pandasof Arctic Pandas, 4 SWINES & A BUM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Arctic Pandas | 76c | 3,888$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.73 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Arctic Pandas | 77c | 1,298$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.91 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Arctic Pandas | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…e584backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 21c | 780.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Arctic Pandas | 76c | 707.7$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 27c | 629$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 24c | 580.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 25c | 499.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 21c | 367.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 22c | 367.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Arctic Pandas | 75c | 356.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 33c | 269.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Arctic Pandas | 80c | 251.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 30c | 209.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Arctic Pandas | 67c | 202.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 23c | 188.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Arctic Pandas | 80c | 176.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…1fd1backed Arctic Pandas | 78c | 167.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a7cbacked Arctic Pandas | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 289 | 23.5%68 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…9674backed Arctic Pandas | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…34c6backed Arctic Pandas | 79c | 126.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 25c | 120.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 17c | 116.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…3753backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 20c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Arctic Pandas | 75c | 97.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 24c | 81.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Arctic Pandas | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…a70dbacked Arctic Pandas | 78c | 51.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Arctic Pandas | 77c | 48.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked 4 SWINES & A BUM | 29c | 44.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Arctic Pandas | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Arctic Pandas | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed 4 SWINES & A BUM | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Arctic Pandas | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked Arctic Pandas | 75c | 22.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.