TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Victoria Mboko vs Clara Tauson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mbokoof Mboko, Tauson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tauson35c6,453$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.622,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mboko77c5,985$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.138,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Mboko65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tauson35c3,318$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.31,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Tauson21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63018047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Mboko65c2,426$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.16331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd928…7adebacked Mboko65c2,092$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.044100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Tauson9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.62326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Mboko65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6305950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tauson14c1,411$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.181,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mboko79c1,384$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.766,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Mboko65c1,376$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.611,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Tauson29c1,217$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tauson35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.047,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tauson35c1,197$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.412,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Tauson36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.996241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tauson35c753$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6431332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tauson34c706.33$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.37,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Tauson29c700$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7637330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tauson25c575.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mboko51c512.25$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Mboko63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9914663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Tauson47c496$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Mboko67c438.84$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.118863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Tauson46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20099139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tauson42c408$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.451,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tauson36c407$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Mboko64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6312752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Tauson6c360$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.664010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Tauson25c343.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.624931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb13…8bb4backed Tauson30c334.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Mboko63c315.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.012669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Mboko64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tauson36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Tauson37c281.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10469350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Mboko65c264.22$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4819531.3%61 W · 134 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Tauson39c258.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Mboko64c250.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.095343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Mboko64c242.06$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.144560%27 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Mboko59c228.97$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mboko49c225.61$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.522,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Tauson35c224.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.451,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Tauson35c222.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7828833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Tauson8c222$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.982,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Mboko50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Tauson37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7429661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Mboko65c194.68$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.128762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Tauson36c194.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0110943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Tauson36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tauson26c189.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.421,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Tauson35c178.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5616340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Mboko58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Tauson56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.253752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Mboko64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2514060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mboko65c153.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7229152.6%153 W · 138 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Tauson12c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.679744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Tauson14c143.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075061.7%463 W · 287 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tauson32c139.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4427627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6387…9d9bbacked Tauson22c125.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Tauson37c121.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Mboko65c118.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.913930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Tauson37c114.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1842046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Mboko64c112.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.510654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Mboko44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6793048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Tauson11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Tauson10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Mboko65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Mboko67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Tauson23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311027.3%30 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Mboko64c99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.645644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Mboko63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.244630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Mboko64c91.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0521949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Tauson20c89.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.793262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tauson31c81.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Tauson37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.68853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88e…636cbacked Mboko64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Mboko65c78.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Mboko65c77.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Mboko65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9216158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5014…5e36backed Mboko64c75.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Mboko67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7515364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Tauson35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.255425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f85…0ceabacked Mboko78c72.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mboko58c69.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.542,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Mboko63c69.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8430750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Tauson26c65.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.871216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Mboko79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2941846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6098…a70dbacked Mboko65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70f…d5d5backed Mboko66c61.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.922986.2%25 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Tauson24c60.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.712343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Mboko65c58.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4649955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tauson35c56.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9460240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Mboko63c56.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7814947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Mboko62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.990064.3%579 W · 321 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Tauson37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Tauson37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Mboko65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8510648.1%51 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Mboko70c51.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3818551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tauson35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…98d4backed Tauson36c47.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+80.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.