TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc88e…636c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.74
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.38
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Mboko (+1.5)backed Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Mboko (+1.5)backed Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$18.41
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.2
Australian Open Women's: Victoria Mboko vs Clara Tausonbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.8
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.4
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.86
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$11.58
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.9
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
Predators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$26.4
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$39.9
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$22.5
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+155.8%+$79.17
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.2
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.4
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.39
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$6.67
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.5
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.