TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Blackhawks, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks31c57,996$17,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,901.521,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights71c42,167$29,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,234.252,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights72c30,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Golden Knights71c25,000$17,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2506055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Blackhawks29c14,959$4,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.9925449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Blackhawks28c14,404$4,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,033.18354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Blackhawks29c12,820$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.748749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks28c9,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights70c8,977$6,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.0947951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Blackhawks31c8,799$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Golden Knights60c7,336$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.6927143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights72c7,187$5,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.1657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights70c6,994$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.4630944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Blackhawks40c6,699$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.8914451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks28c6,677$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.5888151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights57c5,900$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.899638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Golden Knights71c5,859$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.1515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Golden Knights71c5,175$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.752955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Blackhawks30c5,001$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights71c4,981$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.5621750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Blackhawks29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9789547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb486…660ebacked Golden Knights71c3,700$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Golden Knights71c3,450$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.56640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Blackhawks30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blackhawks31c3,229$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Golden Knights69c2,975$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.2524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…3917backed Golden Knights45c2,892$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda73…6ec9backed Blackhawks33c2,825$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55b3…261ebacked Golden Knights67c2,825$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks29c2,551$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.321,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights48c2,550$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.9475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights71c2,400$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69668449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c43…a0f7backed Golden Knights68c2,218$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.761428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…1971backed Blackhawks32c2,218$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.761136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Golden Knights70c2,101$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.233158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Blackhawks29c2,069$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…9360backed Blackhawks33c2,004$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938d…610fbacked Golden Knights67c2,004$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3021…3b3dbacked Golden Knights71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights67c1,974$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.5138748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Blackhawks30c1,971$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights71c1,969$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blackhawks21c1,899$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f9…dbfcbacked Blackhawks32c1,813$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.161346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0796…3f18backed Golden Knights68c1,813$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blackhawks30c1,786$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.5318547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa2…0be2backed Golden Knights68c1,784$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc240…8900backed Blackhawks32c1,784$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.881546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights70c1,729$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.671,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec2…f07dbacked Blackhawks30c1,723$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Golden Knights71c1,700$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4932250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Golden Knights67c1,652$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.835248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828d…7b39backed Blackhawks29c1,650$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ba…651cbacked Golden Knights71c1,650$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blackhawks28c1,648$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5732946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b6…9b02backed Blackhawks32c1,576$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2712…8f6cbacked Golden Knights68c1,576$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Blackhawks57c1,544$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.132339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97c…b8c2backed Blackhawks32c1,527$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ee1…da10backed Golden Knights68c1,527$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.641040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…0133backed Golden Knights68c1,504$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.28850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52a…3e92backed Blackhawks32c1,504$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Blackhawks80c1,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights68c1,473$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.0448050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights70c1,457$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.191,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Blackhawks28c1,430$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3720144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d73…18b4backed Golden Knights68c1,423$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.361020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e65…80d2backed Blackhawks32c1,423$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7d…4883backed Blackhawks29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Golden Knights72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2a…5d4abacked Golden Knights73c1,372$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.816256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights71c1,344$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.511,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a37…9108backed Golden Knights67c1,228$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f22…009fbacked Blackhawks33c1,228$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…ad8ebacked Blackhawks29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb498…64a0backed Blackhawks29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Blackhawks30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Golden Knights68c1,165$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.555349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks28c1,096$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Blackhawks80c1,081$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.5618840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8c…bd38backed Golden Knights67c1,057$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.81850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd80…d8aebacked Blackhawks33c1,057$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks29c1,032$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.551,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd51…9f31backed Blackhawks32c1,008$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd25…4a5bbacked Golden Knights68c1,008$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.561060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Blackhawks29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29038445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Golden Knights72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28033447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Blackhawks42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x702d…a37fbacked Blackhawks29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights71c985.64$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a24…2b23backed Blackhawks33c906$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…460ebacked Golden Knights67c906$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Blackhawks29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26124347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Blackhawks34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa68…94a7backed Golden Knights16c882$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.889642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Blackhawks40c840.43$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3353043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.