NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbbffc7c72da5fc20aea016536ae219453f14953f6399640c40eddb4dedc436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Golden Knights, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 4,996$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.13 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 52c | 1,526$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.05 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 797$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.53 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 496.19$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights | 48c | 334.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Golden Knights | 48c | 223.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 193.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Golden Knights | 49c | 182.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Blackhawks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…a4f1backed Blackhawks | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blackhawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Golden Knights | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Golden Knights | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Blackhawks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Blackhawks | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 69.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Blackhawks | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Golden Knights | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Golden Knights | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 32.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Blackhawks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Blackhawks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…e6cdbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Blackhawks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.