NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ca20b663f4b35420e63121cf33743339c8c33e7d8da98e2d4fcec16aa7f0ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $909,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 736 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Flames | 58c | 202,381$117,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,380.95 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 42c | 156,985$65,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,121.13 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…1113backed Flames | 57c | 81,403$46,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,399.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Flames | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,799.97 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kraken | 43c | 55,981$24,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,749.55 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…5287backed Flames | 0c | 49,230$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…1476backed Flames | 0c | 47,940$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flames | 71c | 28,925$20,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,670.46 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 42c | 25,176$10,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,601.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 41c | 22,037$8,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,055.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kraken | 42c | 20,949$8,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,150.36 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 30c | 18,430$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,973.89 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 56c | 12,694$7,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.81 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kraken | 42c | 11,887$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.31 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 58c | 11,206$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.46 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Kraken | 43c | 9,992$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.81 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Kraken | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 42c | 8,677$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.66 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 58c | 7,511$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.89 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 41c | 6,893$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.44 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kraken | 44c | 6,840$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.4 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kraken | 43c | 6,666$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.73 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 41c | 6,479$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.66 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Flames | 60c | 6,029$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 52c | 5,900$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Flames | 56c | 5,863$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.35 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Kraken | 50c | 5,190$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.04 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flames | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Kraken | 41c | 4,738$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.37 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 54c | 4,569$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kraken | 43c | 4,558$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.17 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kraken | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken | 40c | 4,464$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.54 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 43c | 4,129$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.64 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kraken | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Flames | 58c | 3,575$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 44c | 3,318$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.18 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 52c | 3,292$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kraken | 42c | 2,995$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flames | 57c | 2,867$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.96 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kraken | 42c | 2,857$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.14 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kraken | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Flames | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.95 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Kraken | 36c | 2,367$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.57 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Kraken | 42c | 2,350$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 43c | 2,323$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.03 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 45c | 2,134$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 43c | 2,093$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.01 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…8f01backed Flames | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Kraken | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…60e0backed Flames | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.89 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 43c | 1,979$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.84 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kraken | 39c | 1,905$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.08 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 41c | 1,888$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.8 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Kraken | 32c | 1,880$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.64 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Flames | 57c | 1,664$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.75 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.97 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Flames | 31c | 1,593$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Flames | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kraken | 40c | 1,416$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.24 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Kraken | 43c | 1,405$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb162…40e8backed Flames | 58c | 1,392$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…1666backed Kraken | 42c | 1,392$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…4268backed Kraken | 42c | 1,389$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…f77dbacked Flames | 58c | 1,389$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…d079backed Flames | 58c | 1,384$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…05d8backed Kraken | 42c | 1,384$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…12c4backed Kraken | 42c | 1,377$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…be7bbacked Flames | 58c | 1,377$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…600fbacked Flames | 58c | 1,372$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…e7e4backed Kraken | 42c | 1,372$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…5979backed Flames | 58c | 1,366$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…c317backed Kraken | 42c | 1,366$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a7…1365backed Flames | 58c | 1,359$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…1ce7backed Kraken | 42c | 1,359$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…9727backed Kraken | 42c | 1,357$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…f435backed Flames | 58c | 1,357$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Kraken | 28c | 1,357$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.16 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd84…719dbacked Flames | 58c | 1,344$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…f521backed Kraken | 42c | 1,344$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…b342backed Flames | 59c | 1,339$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kraken | 43c | 1,333$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.56 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…808fbacked Flames | 58c | 1,331$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…d08fbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,331$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…8c08backed Flames | 58c | 1,327$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…a13fbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,327$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…9a2fbacked Flames | 58c | 1,323$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…8fbbbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,323$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…4346backed Kraken | 42c | 1,322$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa8…4f5bbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,322$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0658…3a55backed Flames | 58c | 1,322$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…af7dbacked Flames | 58c | 1,322$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adc…8bf7backed Kraken | 42c | 1,297$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Flamesthis page
- Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flames (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.