Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a2c59672bb0cd970c1d809f15d7971ab5b214d03141e25e61a576cc9cb6b503

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,096 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa1b3…0329backed Zverev	25c	5,000$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.99	104	40.4%42 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Sinner	75c	2,791$2,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.83	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sinner	71c	1,962$1,384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.39	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sinner	59c	1,448$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.35	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Zverev	28c	1,219$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.63	372	30.4%113 W · 259 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev	28c	794.29$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.55	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Sinner	79c	599.99$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.54	187	56.1%105 W · 82 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Zverev	42c	495.71$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.9	606	41.6%252 W · 354 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Zverev	39c	436.84$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.37	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Zverev	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bd…1f9cbacked Zverev	53c	389.6$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Sinner	75c	333.63$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.41	651	57.1%372 W · 279 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Sinner	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	196	49%96 W · 100 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Zverev	21c	288.41$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.92	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Zverev	21c	285.1$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.87	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Zverev	43c	282.06$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	94	25.5%24 W · 70 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Zverev	49c	253.04$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	245	60%147 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Sinner	56c	249.33$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.54	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.28per pick	41cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Sinner	60c	247.61$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.81	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Zverev	41c	245.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	543	48.1%261 W · 282 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Zverev	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	427	43.8%187 W · 240 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sinner	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	693	50.5%350 W · 343 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Zverev	42c	178.69$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	389	51.9%202 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Zverev	43c	175.26$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	283	22.3%63 W · 220 L	-13.3wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b13…07f5backed Sinner	61c	171.7$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.96	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6d…fa35backed Sinner	60c	166.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.44	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sinner	60c	166.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	289	52.6%152 W · 137 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Sinner	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Zverev	40c	147.5$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Zverev	25c	131.75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Zverev	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	328	42.7%140 W · 188 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Sinner	77c	125.71$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.91	430	62.3%268 W · 162 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zverev	31c	110.52$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Sinner	62c	103.23$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.23	526	61.2%322 W · 204 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Sinner	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Zverev	42c	88.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.66	619	53.3%330 W · 289 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63b2…a85cbacked Zverev	44c	87.82$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Sinner	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	300	53.3%160 W · 140 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sinner	58c	87.28$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.78	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Sinner	56c	71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.24	1,489	32.6%486 W · 1,003 L	+22.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88e…636cbacked Zverev	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3a…b960backed Sinner	75c	51.08$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Zverev	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Sinner	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	316	50%158 W · 158 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ba…5afbbacked Zverev	41c	48.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Sinner	65c	47.82$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.74	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Zverev	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sinner	63c	43.5$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	1,444	38%548 W · 896 L	-46.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Sinner	75c	42.16$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Sinner	60c	42.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	134	44%59 W · 75 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Zverev	40c	36.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Sinner	59c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	707	29.1%206 W · 501 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Sinner	61c	32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Zverev	40c	31.84$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ad…a0c8backed Sinner	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	21	90.5%19 W · 2 L	+4.2wins	+0.20per pick	71cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Sinner	57c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	75	40%30 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Sinner	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	348	51.1%178 W · 170 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Sinner	58c	20.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.49	127	39.4%50 W · 77 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Sinner	59c	20.09$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1619…ca7bbacked Sinner	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)this page
Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs SinnerSinner won
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event