TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jannik Sinnerof Alexander Zverev, Jannik Sinner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$864,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,368 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Alexander Zverev9c174,732$15,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,496.853525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alexander Zverev18c43,891$7,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,924.0628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Alexander Zverev19c33,946$6,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,587.7910146.5%47 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Alexander Zverev0c20,586$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.936055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Alexander Zverev16c20,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.982321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alexander Zverev5c17,964$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.272,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Alexander Zverev13c17,137$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.2525.8%3 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe611…2294backed Jannik Sinner79c13,505$10,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Alexander Zverev18c12,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9974743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a21…fb6cbacked Alexander Zverev18c11,102$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Alexander Zverev16c10,840$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.8712322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Alexander Zverev19c10,572$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Alexander Zverev19c8,051$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Alexander Zverev15c7,239$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.81,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Alexander Zverev5c7,022$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Alexander Zverev19c6,552$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.3357645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Alexander Zverev9c5,734$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Alexander Zverev14c5,507$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.758348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Alexander Zverev18c5,195$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.658721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Alexander Zverev5c5,096$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.821,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Alexander Zverev9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Alexander Zverev18c4,701$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.189134.1%31 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Alexander Zverev19c4,404$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.4918237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Alexander Zverev9c4,175$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0871725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Alexander Zverev17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Alexander Zverev15c3,039$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.6537230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Alexander Zverev19c2,842$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5521720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Alexander Zverev18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50054450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Jannik Sinner80c2,641$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.151,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Alexander Zverev2c2,281$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506256.5%35 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Alexander Zverev22c2,275$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Jannik Sinner78c2,249$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.7623847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alexander Zverev8c2,245$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.891,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alexander Zverev12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Alexander Zverev9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Alexander Zverev17c1,759$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9742839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Alexander Zverev6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Jannik Sinner76c1,560$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.3420554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Alexander Zverev14c1,510$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Alexander Zverev16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bc…124abacked Alexander Zverev4c1,475$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3551…5d2bbacked Alexander Zverev2c1,420$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Alexander Zverev18c1,388$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.841,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Alexander Zverev15c1,349$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1417746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Alexander Zverev8c1,326$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Alexander Zverev16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.977850%39 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked Jannik Sinner80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508961.8%55 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Alexander Zverev17c1,216$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.589044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Alexander Zverev9c1,112$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Alexander Zverev18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c8…9be6backed Alexander Zverev18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Alexander Zverev18c1,105$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Alexander Zverev2c1,100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed Alexander Zverev18c1,046$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.22657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Alexander Zverev18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Alexander Zverev17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Alexander Zverev16c999.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alexander Zverev16c986.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.761,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Alexander Zverev18c946$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.281,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Alexander Zverev13c899.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796c…49dbbacked Alexander Zverev21c895.81$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.128448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Alexander Zverev10c836.67$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Alexander Zverev17c822.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409425.5%24 W · 70 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Alexander Zverev17c800$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Alexander Zverev19c799.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0412350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Alexander Zverev14c799.25$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.45048%24 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Alexander Zverev16c785.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.744930.6%15 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jannik Sinner79c782.45$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Alexander Zverev10c765.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Alexander Zverev18c765.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.718936%32 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb417…06dcbacked Alexander Zverev18c757.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.283145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Alexander Zverev20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016437.2%61 W · 103 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Alexander Zverev21c748.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Alexander Zverev17c747.57$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.091625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6c…b574backed Alexander Zverev2c663.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80c…dd0dbacked Alexander Zverev13c657.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.431241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Alexander Zverev19c608$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7137342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Alexander Zverev19c592.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.735730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Alexander Zverev14c589.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3988446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Alexander Zverev18c556$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alexander Zverev18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2042…2f99backed Alexander Zverev6c554.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Alexander Zverev6c551.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.541,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alexander Zverev5c484.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alexander Zverev18c481$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…54d2backed Alexander Zverev14c469.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alexander Zverev17c450$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae31…c586backed Alexander Zverev18c450$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Alexander Zverev8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9735…b03bbacked Alexander Zverev18c381.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.74245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f4…4345backed Alexander Zverev8c376.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a4…9a10backed Alexander Zverev9c341.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexander Zverev18c338.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.844,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff14…5d81backed Alexander Zverev6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37c…4e44backed Alexander Zverev8c330.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed Jannik Sinner80c313.35$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.675444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Alexander Zverev18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542744.4%12 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+40.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed Alexander Zverev17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Alexander Zverev18c283$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.941,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Alexander Zverev18c281.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6842743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.