TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e79…54d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.74
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$152.41
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.27
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.87
Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.19
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+308.3%+$210.23
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.23
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.18
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$124.99
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+445.5%+$907.78
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.97
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Coco Gauffbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.61
Miami Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.44
Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatekbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+386.1%+$377.02
Miami Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.06
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.94
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$97.69
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.51
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.77
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$1,028.88
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.43
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.66
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.98
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.77
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$543.15
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.62
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.04
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.97
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+340.3%+$427.04
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bearsbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.66
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.