TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,452,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,679,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,452,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls17c62,645$10,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,800.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls16c36,406$5,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,670.842,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls17c34,698$5,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7261,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Bulls18c34,387$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,160.1920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls16c33,961$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,576.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls18c22,230$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.1966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Suns77c21,600$16,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.9917055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls13c21,350$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.852,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Bulls18c20,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9618045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls16c16,662$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.122,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Bulls16c14,937$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.171136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Suns80c12,650$10,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5308834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls16c11,858$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.113,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Bulls16c11,682$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.8616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls17c11,558$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls17c10,880$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Bulls11c10,702$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.4128929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Bulls25c10,399$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.192240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Bulls18c10,242$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.5421350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Bulls15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Bulls20c9,754$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.845141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls17c8,313$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.4324831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls13c7,942$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls19c7,449$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Suns79c7,323$5,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.265650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bulls18c7,155$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.686450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Bulls17c7,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls18c7,000$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.9565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls18c7,000$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.9186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bulls18c6,714$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.4643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bulls19c6,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Suns78c5,724$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.6410757.9%62 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Bulls10c5,578$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6211034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Bulls18c5,448$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.798942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bulls17c5,226$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.6629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Bulls16c5,161$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.0824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Bulls16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80058951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bulls19c4,757$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.1425947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Bulls17c4,283$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.619055.6%50 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bulls9c4,161$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.661,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Bulls20c4,009$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.898339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Bulls6c3,849$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9717651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bulls16c3,836$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.261,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Bulls20c3,828$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.251850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Suns79c3,731$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.6135650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Bulls14c3,673$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.677142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Bulls6c3,650$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.89633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2685…bb3abacked Suns80c3,572$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.44264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls1c3,555$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.958820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Bulls12c3,428$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls16c3,376$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.143,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Bulls15c3,190$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5127241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Bulls17c3,083$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1527735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0254…efdbbacked Bulls2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls17c2,921$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.351,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bulls19c2,908$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.411040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls1c2,884$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.847211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Bulls18c2,822$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.065633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bulls6c2,775$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.441,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns80c2,750$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Bulls25c2,718$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.7731345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bulls17c2,681$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.3730947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad3…9c9dbacked Bulls19c2,575$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls17c2,548$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.441,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Bulls17c2,529$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.6318632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa37e…5fbfbacked Bulls19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4751384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Bulls16c2,343$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.965543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Suns79c2,333$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.962166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bulls16c2,281$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9535251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Bulls15c2,250$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.588230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Bulls18c2,250$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…7e5ebacked Bulls18c2,248$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Bulls16c2,204$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.642927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Bulls16c2,189$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2315219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Bulls13c2,187$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.347412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a70…5882backed Bulls19c2,098$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6496.1%3 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Bulls16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls22c1,906$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Bulls19c1,903$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.535724.6%14 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Suns73c1,849$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.529347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Bulls18c1,825$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.5725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Bulls13c1,823$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.953324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bulls18c1,800$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls15c1,670$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Bulls12c1,613$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Bulls16c1,591$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.123435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls16c1,580$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Bulls16c1,548$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Bulls17c1,533$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.642520%5 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bulls17c1,510$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7322637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Bulls19c1,500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28053939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Bulls16c1,417$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.611,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls16c1,417$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bulls17c1,397$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5517532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls17c1,383$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.531,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls17c1,378$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Bulls18c1,339$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0160549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Bulls17c1,334$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.864667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Suns80c1,260$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.