NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1cb5b07eca8f34791a303257a4f6d90efba5951de6594e6217e325800fa746

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,846 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xafaf…1635backed Under	53c	3,040$1,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424.66	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	1,390$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.47	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	44c	941.57$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.16	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	55c	582.43$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.23	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over	52c	467.23$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.79	192	58.3%112 W · 80 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	80c	312.5$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.5	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	20c	297.5$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	44c	259.11$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.55	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	46c	218.15$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.8	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	41c	210.19$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.01	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	45c	207.66$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.3	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	37c	186.1$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.81	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over	64c	169.38$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.31	218	48.2%105 W · 113 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over	52c	168.09$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.41	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	51c	134.82$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.54	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	57c	99.6$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.77	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	54c	89$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.83	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	59c	81.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.02	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under	48c	80.61$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.92	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d6…10d9backed Over	58c	77.98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.23	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	23c	65.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	64.72$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.36	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over	56c	58.92$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+6.2wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	49c	57.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over	20c	52.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	188	35.1%66 W · 122 L	+24.5wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	45c	48.16$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.73	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	69c	42.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.04	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	41c	38.56$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	52c	37.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under	44c	36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	51c	29.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.39	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	51c	28.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over	55c	26.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over	54c	26.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over	54c	26.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under	44c	23.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under	44c	23.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	65c	21.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event