NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cefa5e6aa78ebc2cf1025c2a45b2a8df5039f11133aeab233d34ad61b786b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 52c | 48,737$25,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,318.43 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 12,869$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Under | 45c | 10,291$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 10,030$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 49c | 7,454$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.9 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 4,571$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 4,500$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.55 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 3,410$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 2,320$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.21 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 48c | 2,054$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.08 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 1,980$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.36 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 1,895$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.41 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 1,380$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 45c | 1,359$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.25 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,357$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.64 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,330$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.95 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.83 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 53c | 1,146$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.38 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 54c | 1,144$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.46 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 46c | 1,140$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.51 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 1,045$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.75 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…21f2backed Over | 55c | 978.71$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 48c | 958.94$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.65 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 40c | 920.16$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 902.51$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.28 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 832.09$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 785.54$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 728$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.56 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 600.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 54c | 553.26$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 45c | 509.28$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 48c | 501.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 460.88$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.9 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 431.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 53c | 417.87$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 373.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 54c | 370.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 54c | 330.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.1 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 297.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 240.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 62c | 239.28$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 212.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 52c | 210.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 209.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 208.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 58c | 206.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Under | 50c | 195.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 48c | 176.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 174.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 167.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 45c | 166.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 78c | 127.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 56c | 120.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 49c | 120.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 53c | 110.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 109.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 53c | 105.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 103.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 47c | 101.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 48c | 100.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 94.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 91.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 86.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 57c | 86.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 81.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 79.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 67.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 48c | 62.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 59.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 59.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 55.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 53.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 60c | 49.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 41.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Over | 59c | 39.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66e…b743backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 49c | 34.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3e…ae7fbacked Under | 48c | 30.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 42c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 53c | 29.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 56c | 29.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BullsSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.