TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12ec…41aebacked Under47c12,744$5,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.1616039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c9,124$4,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.072,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under44c8,044$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.599440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over53c5,482$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.725750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c4,787$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over52c3,606$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.1514441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c3,376$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under46c3,353$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.61,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c3,069$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c2,197$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.551,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Over53c1,944$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.111850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c1,116$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,066$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5121247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over56c957.73$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over57c917.68$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.091,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over56c839.34$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c757.47$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.611,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c665.8$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c651.26$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.141,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c645.41$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Under46c631.66$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.382339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over42c407.87$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c393.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.821,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under49c392.66$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over53c382.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1111346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c354.71$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.191,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under46c346.74$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.141,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under50c308.66$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over56c305.12$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under43c254.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under50c253.39$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over58c250.76$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.896950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c237.55$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2740146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over55c228.66$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under50c202.59$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over51c201.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under47c196.07$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.922,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under57c188.42$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.159735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c182.24$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over58c179.89$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.063455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c178.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over56c160.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over57c146.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over57c146.48$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7812752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over42c134.33$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over56c121.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Over26c114.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.892839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over25c114.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.634025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Over54c107.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.87052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c101.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under41c101.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked Over55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.994240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over56c97.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8214444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.683441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c73.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.842,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over52c69.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.113052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over56c67.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.224667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under60c64.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Over53c60.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.486962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c60.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0121149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under39c60.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7220547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Over57c59.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0910047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over24c56.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5610637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under45c53.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Under46c48.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.134839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under49c47.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under41c44.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.072,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…4edcbacked Under45c43.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.842853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76b…b834backed Over56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c43.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.953,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8415449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Over53c37.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over56c37.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4722756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec27…ba0fbacked Under51c33.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.582147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…259fbacked Over58c33.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over53c33.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5714640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over36c32.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8114931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under44c32.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1455444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked Over53c32.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.972548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over51c31.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcebd…2502backed Under45c30.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.553545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1321649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed Under49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd8b…6cd9backed Under46c29.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under55c29.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1110345.6%47 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under48c29.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over51c28.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2219550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564a…cce3backed Under52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under46c27.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over52c26.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8914852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c26.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c25.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under55c25.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.