NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf022957279bea09566c52f0f6edceffa204f4ed40b050b64ae691b288efa80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Suns, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,227,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,414,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,227,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Suns | 54c | 948,192$516,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516,011.96 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 47c | 727,090$344,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382,955.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 53c | 573,573$302,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302,758.19 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 45c | 214,110$96,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,754.58 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Suns | 52c | 130,000$67,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,599.86 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Bulls | 45c | 124,668$56,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,565.21 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 46c | 59,994$27,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,396.91 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 46c | 56,299$25,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,405.78 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Suns | 54c | 48,213$26,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,035.02 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 54c | 44,914$24,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,311.96 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 46c | 32,669$14,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,795.01 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Suns | 53c | 29,011$15,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,375.73 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 47c | 27,164$12,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,476.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 46c | 15,466$7,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.99 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Suns | 54c | 12,622$6,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,805.65 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 46c | 10,670$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…71e1backed Bulls | 48c | 10,168$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 46c | 10,057$4,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Suns | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Bulls | 45c | 8,709$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 49c | 7,232$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Suns | 53c | 5,972$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.26 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Suns | 54c | 5,674$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.03 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Suns | 55c | 5,007$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.59 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Bulls | 48c | 4,604$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.89 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 50c | 4,240$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.77 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Suns | 54c | 4,074$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.93 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Suns | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Suns | 52c | 3,961$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.72 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 47c | 3,273$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bulls | 46c | 3,152$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.32 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 51c | 2,886$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Suns | 50c | 2,800$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Bulls | 49c | 2,786$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.86 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Bulls | 53c | 2,306$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.81 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bulls | 51c | 2,283$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.9 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 47c | 2,255$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Bulls | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Bulls | 57c | 1,713$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 47c | 1,644$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.24 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Suns | 54c | 1,630$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.95 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…d217backed Suns | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Suns | 47c | 1,495$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.21 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…bfecbacked Bulls | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Suns | 66c | 1,330$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.83 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Suns | 53c | 1,260$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.78 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 54c | 1,252$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulls | 73c | 1,202$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,178$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.59 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Bulls | 48c | 1,018$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.71 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Suns | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Bulls | 48c | 981.39$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.33 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 45c | 924.71$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Suns | 53c | 918.11$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 48c | 899$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Suns | 53c | 898.57$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.24 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Suns | 50c | 867.33$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Suns | 47c | 823.11$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.86 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…2711backed Suns | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 46c | 699.13$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Bulls | 45c | 687.52$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.51 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Suns | 44c | 687.34$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 47c | 680.38$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 50c | 667.25$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Suns | 53c | 663.07$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.34 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 51c | 651.63$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Bulls | 49c | 616.2$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.26 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Suns | 54c | 605.43$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Suns | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Suns | 52c | 597.91$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.75 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Suns | 52c | 595.85$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Suns | 54c | 589.54$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Suns | 53c | 569.52$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.09 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Suns | 53c | 519.7$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Suns | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Suns | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Bulls | 44c | 465.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…4bd9backed Suns | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls | 53c | 457.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Suns | 54c | 453.01$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.23 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Suns | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Bulls | 46c | 450$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bulls | 47c | 449.53$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Suns | 55c | 424.23$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Suns | 48c | 416.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bulls | 46c | 409.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls | 50c | 406.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.89 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Suns | 49c | 399.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls | 48c | 384.81$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.62 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Bulls | 47c | 367.88$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…62ebbacked Suns | 49c | 366.06$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Suns | 26c | 366$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Suns | 58c | 337.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…3811backed Suns | 54c | 332.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bulls | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Bulls | 60c | 319.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BullsSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.