TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over53c51,007$26,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,893.6811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c16,843$8,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,734.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over51c13,000$6,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,629.898429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under47c10,311$4,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4653554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under46c8,239$3,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.1313442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over50c8,026$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.82040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Under47c7,504$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,976.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c6,487$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c4,725$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3231,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c4,505$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.11,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under48c4,379$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.8758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c3,363$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under49c3,108$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.921,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under47c2,794$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.881,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c2,763$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.51,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c2,432$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.131,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c2,089$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.8729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under47c1,888$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.639629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.152,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c1,643$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.62,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Under47c1,582$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.65446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over55c1,385$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.1729243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under48c1,178$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.5917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c990.5$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under46c968.19$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.8227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under47c943.98$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3116743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Over49c797.54$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c795$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under47c751.8$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.044667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c750.08$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c739.28$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.381,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c694.84$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over59c596.94$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under49c594.85$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9212752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c593.27$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.571,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under49c495.93$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c495.93$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c436.57$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.651,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c367.72$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.731,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under39c354.25$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.0952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c336.67$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.212,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c289.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.621,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c284.91$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c264.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over53c254.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.81,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10619435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under49c199.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under49c199.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over54c198.37$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under42c197.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.636860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c196.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.125651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over54c182.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4636045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Over54c178.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6211451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c175.23$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.423,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c171.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.152,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under41c139.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c130.24$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.773,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under49c100.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c99.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.561,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6217758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c82.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.218835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under48c79.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.315954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdde2…743dbacked Under47c69.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under47c69.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under42c68.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.523840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under47c55.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.228548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c49.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.229740.2%39 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Over56c48.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.274032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c47.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.911,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over54c43.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5957051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2137753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07c4…5b82backed Over59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Under47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.846147.5%29 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under63c39.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7337848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.413554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66e…b743backed Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3821649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over55c30.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Under47c28.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.984025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c28.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Over53c26.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.947052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under48c25.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1315459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Over50c25.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.613429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under49c23.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0623048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Over54c23.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.726962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c23.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under49c21.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0618548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over59c21.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under73c13.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.