NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360074cb72265fa3908dc9c5f03fda5c9d854122ce4451373c1db81585390f07

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over	55c	4,902$2,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,716.46	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	47c	4,068$1,924 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,144.25	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	54c	907.84$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.17	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	61c	819.67$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	60c	700.53$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.29	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	36c	672.22$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.81	184	38.6%71 W · 113 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	75c	666.78$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.78	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	39c	452.43$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.18	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e12…b916backed Over	66c	446.75$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.81	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over	66c	445.93$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.86	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under	34c	366.83$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.27	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	59c	221.31$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.57	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	39c	211.79$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.19	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	39c	171.27$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.75	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under	32c	150$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under	32c	150$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	80	40%32 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under	32c	150$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	35c	144.58$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.49	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over	72c	136.37$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	53cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	46c	123$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.79	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	44c	109.95$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.63	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	49c	99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.98	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde2…743dbacked Under	37c	97.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.65	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over	55c	95$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.35	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over	68c	88.83$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.61	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under	39c	86.06$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	203	49.3%100 W · 103 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	46c	82.29$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.21	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	55c	77.84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.81	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	46c	72.55$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.44	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under	36c	58.75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.79	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over	65c	57.41$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	423	48.5%205 W · 218 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	60c	57.18$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.42	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	48c	55.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under	35c	52.17$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.74	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Under	41c	39.1$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.05	200	55.5%111 W · 89 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Over	59c	29.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over	68c	28.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	44c	28.32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under	44c	28.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over	60c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	64c	21.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over	59c	20.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6d55backed Under	59c	19.87$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8535…c307backed Over	60c	19.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event