NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd602c5fa0de3601de2c6d3d33a1b5de81de7185174577fec03947b2a206c472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 6,238$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 5,291$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.22 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 39c | 4,420$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.09 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 3,696$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 3,311$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 1,067$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 56c | 780$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 689.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 57c | 494.55$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Under | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 39c | 466.34$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 61c | 391.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.66 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 45c | 349.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 291.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 176.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 74c | 166.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 74c | 166.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 152.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 139.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 25c | 139.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Over | 74c | 127.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 69c | 114.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 44c | 110.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 108.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 55c | 99.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 25c | 79.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 38c | 77.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 75c | 75.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 75c | 75.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 75c | 75.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Under | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Under | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…54adbacked Under | 37c | 59.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 39c | 54.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Over | 45c | 53.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 53.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 62c | 45.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under | 49c | 43.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 63c | 41.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 40.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 80c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 43c | 37.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 37c | 37.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 62c | 36.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 73c | 36.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 31.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 67c | 29.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Over | 61c | 26.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Over | 61c | 25.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 61c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Under | 49c | 20.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 61c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Over | 58c | 17.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BullsSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.