NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051524eec756c23b1f26a91aa8f26404a44770af1017237de2e1ced5565106d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 53c | 41,950$22,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,178.33 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…42b8backed Over | 49c | 25,467$12,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,490.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 69cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 20,376$10,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762.48 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 49c | 19,964$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,181.62 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 44c | 17,296$7,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,685.56 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 51c | 11,102$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 9,904$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 8,708$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.16 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 6,672$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,402.92 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 48c | 5,065$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.61 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 46c | 4,870$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.8 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 4,321$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 2,927$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.56 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 53c | 2,751$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 53c | 2,365$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.45 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 2,294$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over | 14c | 2,222$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Under | 50c | 1,781$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.46 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,365$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 47c | 1,165$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.41 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 46c | 1,058$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 1,047$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 16c | 1,009$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…1b67backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 944.78$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 51c | 929.65$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.12 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 49c | 860.16$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.28 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 16c | 857.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 807.58$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 46c | 705$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 64c | 610.07$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 582.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 469.15$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 439.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Under | 56c | 436.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Under | 47c | 430.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 407.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 51c | 370.87$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 56c | 354.46$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 353.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 47c | 345$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 310.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 16c | 290.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 41c | 289.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 280$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 271.41$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Under | 59c | 254.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 25c | 253.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 249.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Under | 73c | 199.57$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 57c | 199.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 57c | 171.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 160.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 58c | 155.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 150.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 44c | 146.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 114.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 102.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Over | 37c | 96.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 56c | 87.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 55c | 86.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 52c | 78.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Over | 49c | 71.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 51c | 68.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 50c | 67.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 61.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 27c | 54.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 51.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2c…ec87backed Over | 45c | 48.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…5b82backed Over | 51c | 47.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 47.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 78c | 46.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 46c | 42.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…1c2bbacked Under | 67c | 39.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 38.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 49c | 38.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Under | 50c | 38.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 47c | 29.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 29.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BullsSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.