NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37b620b151d37604b33120228b168cf840dc47ac270d1c85660a496e59e10e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Suns, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 51c | 48,025$24,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,257.71 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 48c | 27,990$13,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,555.57 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 50c | 25,118$12,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,447.8 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 51c | 24,765$12,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,134.98 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 49c | 24,330$12,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,319.94 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 50c | 19,014$9,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,494.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Bulls | 52c | 12,762$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.55 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Suns | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 50c | 7,900$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,948.84 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 50c | 6,024$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 51c | 3,250$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…1b67backed Bulls | 50c | 2,776$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bulls | 53c | 2,307$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.75 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Suns | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.04 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,609$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.47 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls | 51c | 1,368$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.49 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bulls | 51c | 1,282$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.95 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 51c | 1,282$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.95 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 51c | 1,261$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.57 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,259$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.49 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Suns | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Suns | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 51c | 864.75$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.73 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Bulls | 52c | 695.32$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Suns | 50c | 585.9$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 50c | 489.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Bulls | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Suns | 55c | 455$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bulls | 51c | 428.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Bulls | 51c | 397.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Suns | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Suns | 50c | 339.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 46c | 320.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Suns | 37c | 287.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bulls | 52c | 280.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Bulls | 52c | 252.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Bulls | 51c | 242.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Suns | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Bulls | 51c | 209.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Suns | 49c | 203.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Suns | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Suns | 49c | 200.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Suns | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Suns | 49c | 197.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…af96backed Suns | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bulls | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Suns | 46c | 146.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 57c | 137.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 46c | 133.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Bulls | 48c | 122.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Suns | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Suns | 15c | 108.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Suns | 54c | 108.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Suns | 48c | 104.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Suns | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Suns | 50c | 97.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Suns | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Suns | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Bulls | 52c | 94.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Bulls | 53c | 93.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Bulls | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Bulls | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Suns | 49c | 90.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bulls | 37c | 87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Suns | 50c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bulls | 55c | 81.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Suns | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…321cbacked Bulls | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Bulls | 52c | 67.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…e08fbacked Suns | 50c | 64.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Bulls | 50c | 63.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…7f2cbacked Suns | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x793a…5af8backed Suns | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…6463backed Suns | 50c | 57.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…fe83backed Suns | 50c | 57.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Bulls | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…9e89backed Bulls | 52c | 50.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Bulls | 51c | 49.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Suns | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bulls | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Bulls | 52c | 44.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 42c | 44.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Bulls | 55c | 44.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Bulls | 55c | 43.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Suns | 50c | 40.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Suns | 50c | 40.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. BullsSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.