NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93fb600841e150d79da53330e935458422434cbbb60a050a75624f905ae4e4d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns | 58c | 41,782$24,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,406.86 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 43c | 32,291$14,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,013.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Suns | 56c | 24,685$13,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,903.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 63c | 12,544$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,635.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 45c | 11,907$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bulls | 42c | 10,119$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.06 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 41c | 6,553$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.88 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns | 63c | 5,427$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.4 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Bulls | 46c | 3,668$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 41c | 2,684$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Bulls | 42c | 2,142$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.55 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Suns | 58c | 2,017$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.07 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 43c | 2,000$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.86 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 44c | 1,823$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 46c | 1,558$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 43c | 1,489$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Suns | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.45 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Suns | 49c | 1,123$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.9 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Suns | 56c | 1,096$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.38 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bulls | 42c | 1,076$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.88 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls | 47c | 1,073$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 36c | 1,053$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Bulls | 42c | 1,030$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Suns | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 47c | 849.98$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Suns | 56c | 791.18$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Bulls | 45c | 788.41$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.78 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 44c | 737.09$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Suns | 57c | 731.07$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 54c | 702.91$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls | 45c | 654.8$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 43c | 598.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.35 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Suns | 56c | 579.31$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 45c | 569.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bulls | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Suns | 53c | 458.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Bulls | 45c | 451.27$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.07 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Suns | 59c | 383.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.22 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Suns | 59c | 330.66$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Suns | 57c | 327.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Bulls | 45c | 295.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bulls | 43c | 284.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 50c | 278.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls | 43c | 271.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls | 44c | 265.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Suns | 54c | 258.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 44c | 256.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Suns | 24c | 255.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Bulls | 46c | 251$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls | 48c | 250.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls | 41c | 239$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bulls | 42c | 226.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Suns | 53c | 220.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Suns | 54c | 214.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 47c | 203.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Bulls | 42c | 197.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Suns | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Bulls | 45c | 180.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Bulls | 47c | 175.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Suns | 56c | 173.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bulls | 46c | 154.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Suns | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bulls | 18c | 147.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Bulls | 43c | 145.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 51c | 143.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns | 50c | 133.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Bulls | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 59c | 126.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Bulls | 47c | 125.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…8094backed Suns | 52c | 121.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls | 32c | 115.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Bulls | 43c | 114.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Suns | 54c | 112.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 49c | 111.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Bulls | 42c | 109.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bulls | 47c | 106.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Bulls | 42c | 101.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bulls | 45c | 101.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bulls | 45c | 100.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Suns | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Suns | 53c | 99.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Suns | 54c | 97.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Suns | 54c | 97.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Suns | 54c | 93.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Suns | 53c | 93.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Bulls | 42c | 91.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Bulls | 62c | 88.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…fc7fbacked Suns | 58c | 86.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bulls | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Suns | 58c | 84.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Suns | 50c | 82.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Suns | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Suns | 43c | 82.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Suns | 18c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Suns | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Bulls | 54c | 79.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Suns | 62c | 75.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Suns | 57c | 73.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Suns (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Suns (-11.5)Bulls won
- Suns vs. BullsSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.