TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns58c41,782$24,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,406.8636549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls43c32,291$14,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,013.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Suns56c24,685$13,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,903.485750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns63c12,544$7,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,635.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls45c11,907$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.631,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Bulls42c10,119$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,250.0629055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls41c6,553$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.8866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns63c5,427$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Bulls46c3,668$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.122040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls41c2,684$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.875,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Bulls42c2,142$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.5518444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Suns58c2,017$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.076058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bulls43c2,000$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.861,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls44c1,823$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls46c1,558$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls43c1,489$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Suns57c1,196$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Suns49c1,123$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.91,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Suns56c1,096$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Bulls42c1,076$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.881,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls47c1,073$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls36c1,053$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Bulls42c1,030$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.618438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Suns53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bulls47c849.98$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.491,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Suns56c791.18$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Bulls45c788.41$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls44c737.09$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Suns57c731.07$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.794667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns54c702.91$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls45c654.8$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.8742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls43c598.75$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Suns56c579.31$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bulls45c569.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bulls41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Suns53c458.38$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4419258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Bulls45c451.27$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0710943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Suns59c383.46$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2211551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Suns59c330.66$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5726755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Suns57c327.76$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.332,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Bulls45c295.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0510252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Bulls43c284.05$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls50c278.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls43c271.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bulls44c265.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Suns54c258.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls44c256.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.482,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Suns24c255.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Bulls46c251$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls48c250.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls41c239$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Bulls42c226.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Suns53c220.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Suns54c214.37$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8142348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls47c203.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.753,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Bulls42c197.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d95…2342backed Suns52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.657250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Bulls45c180.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.331,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Bulls47c175.95$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.728929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Suns56c173.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5617428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bulls46c154.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2248152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.772,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Suns18c150$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12333030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Bulls18c147.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Bulls43c145.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.577243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls51c143.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.13,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns50c133.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.291,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Bulls22c132$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Suns59c126.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Bulls47c125.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.212752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Suns52c121.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Bulls32c115.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.511,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Bulls43c114.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Suns54c112.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Suns49c111.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Bulls42c109.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3819550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Bulls47c106.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5940750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Bulls42c101.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Bulls45c101.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Bulls45c100.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Suns52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Suns53c99.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Suns54c97.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.017256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Suns54c97.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7117350.3%87 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Suns54c93.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaed…5749backed Suns53c93.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.497052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Bulls42c91.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.327153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Bulls62c88.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…fc7fbacked Suns58c86.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.311040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Bulls45c85.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6844747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Suns58c84.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2638152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Suns50c82.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.074025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Suns59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8927549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Suns43c82.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.275639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Suns18c80$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Suns51c79.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.196663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Bulls54c79.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Suns62c75.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.477846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Suns57c73.82$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.